US vs Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes"
if there is a military engagement between the military
forces of the United States of America and Venezuela
between 2025-12-01 and 2025-03-31 17:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military engagement" is defined as any incident
involving the use of force such as missile strikes,
artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms
of direct military engagement between US
and Venezuelan military forces.

Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile
launches that land in territorial waters or pass through
airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Intentional ship ramming that results in significant
damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking
of a military ship by another will count
toward a ""Yes" resolution.

However, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land
territory will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify
regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory
or cause damage.

Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial
territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although
surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft
would qualify).

Note that the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch
of the U.S. Armed Forces.

Venezuela's Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia)
is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian
Armed Forces (FANB) and Venezuela's Coast Guard
(Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan
Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus
of credible reporting.