Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Rules

This market will resolve to"Yes"
if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei,
is removed from power for any length of time
between 2026-01-12 and 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed
from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise
loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling
his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran
between 2026-01-12 and 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC.

The primary resolution source for this market
will be a consensus of credible reporting.