Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes"
if the United States commences
a military offensive intended to establish
control over any portion of the land
territory of Latin American country
by 2026-12-31 17:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land
de facto controlled by the relevant country
or the United States as market creation,
will be considered the sovereign territory
of that country.

Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize,
Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia,
Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana,
Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,
Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti.

The resolution source for this market
will be a consensus of credible sources.