2025-12-31 UTC
305,186.53 USDZ
Remain: 195
The date countdown of the bet resolving
live

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

20.4%
79.6%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes"
if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving
taxi service in California
by 2025-12-31 17:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public
which operates without a human driver actively
controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of
membership or other financial restrictions.

Services which are limited to Tesla employees
or a limited test group without general access
will not qualify.

This market's resolution source
will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Hot Markets

2025-06-30
11 days
live
1.55%
98.45%
2025-06-30
11 days
live
1.95%
98.05%
2025-12-31
195 days
live
9.5%
90.5%
2025-12-31
195 days
live
3.2%
96.8%