Market ID: 321
2025-07-31 UTC
1,460,683.69 USDZ
end

Israel military action against Iran in July?

0.7%
99.3%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes"
if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil,
airspace, or maritime territory or against
any Iranian embassies or consulates
between 2025-07-07 and 2025-07-31 16:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action"
will be considered to be any use of force executed
by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory,
that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government
or a consensus of credible reporting.
E.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli
missile, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks,
or ground invasions.

Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not
count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met
prior to this market's resolution date, this market will
resolve immediately.

Hot Markets

2026-03-31
76 days
live
Market ID: 934
11.5%
88.5%
2026-03-31
76 days
live
Market ID: 935
18%
82%
2026-03-31
76 days
live
Market ID: 1187
42.5%
57.5%
2026-03-31
76 days
live
Market ID: 1188
31.95%
68.05%