2025-08-31 UTC
258,119.02 USDZ
end
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes"
if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning
model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM)
that is as advanced as GPT-3
by 2025-08-31 16:00 UTC.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models),
speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper),
specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models
(e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that
otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus
of credible reporting.
