Market ID: 397
2025-07-31 UTC
114,941.13 USDZ
end

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

16%
84%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes"
if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian
armed forces strikes Moscow municipality,
or any target within the municipality, between
2025-07-25 and 2025-07-31 16:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone
launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted
before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters
Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow,
it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be
a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred,
or whether the drone/missile was intercepted,
this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely
according to a consensus of credible reporting
and video evidence.

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