Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?
Rules
On August 6, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed
an Executive Order sanctioning India through secondary tariffs
for its continued purchase of Russian Federation oil.
More information can be found here:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/08/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/
This market will resolve to "Yes"
if the United States officially imposes new sanctions
of any form against Russia
between 2025-08-06 and 2025-08-31 16:00 UTC.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions,
financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans,
restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions
that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities
which do not directly target the Russian state
or members of the Russian government will not qualify.
Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs
i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities
for continuing to trade with Russia, will qualify.
The passage of an official act/executive order
authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's
timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution,
regardless of if or when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information
from the government of the United States.
However, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.