Will Israel strike Gaza before November 14?

Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes"
If Israel initiates a drone, missile,
or air strike on Gaza soil
between 2025-11-07 and 2025-11-14 17:00 UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike"
is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles
(including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched
by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground
territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory
of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air
missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes"
resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza
territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or
ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling,
cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli
ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary solution resolution source will be official
government/military statements (Israeli or foreign),
multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible
reporting from major international media and national
broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed
by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours
of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No"
regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed
to have taken place.