Will India invade Pakistan before July?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if India
commences a military offensive intended to establish
control over any portion of Pakistan
by 2025-06-30 16:00 UTC.

Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market,
land de facto controlled by India or Pakistan
as of 2025-06-30 16:00 UTC
will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market
will be official confirmation by India, Pakistan,
the United Nations, or any permanent
member of the UN Security Council.

However, a consensus of credible reporting
confirming the event will also qualify.