
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes"
if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research
and/or nuclear weapon development,
defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement,
is reached between the United States and Iran
between 2025-07-07 and 2025-07-31 16:00 UTC.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties
will qualify.
Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized
agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution
date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when
the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran
as parties, even if they also involve other countries
(e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA),
will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official
announcement by the United States and/or the
Islamic Republic of Iran.
However an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting
confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.